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Saturday · August 29 · 1:16 PM ✦

PIRATES @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 87 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph in from rf

Final

PIRATES 6
Cardinals 2

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 6–2 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 42% 58% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 48% 52% — ✗
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games