← Back to the recap

Friday · August 28 · 7:15 pm ✦

PIRATES @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 84 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from cf

Final

Pirates 1
CARDINALS 4

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 1–4 Cardinals

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 69% 31% 5–3 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 58% 42% — ✗
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 57% 43% 4–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games