Thursday · August 27 · 1:15 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf
Final
Orioles
5
CARDINALS
7
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–7 Cardinals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games