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Wednesday · August 26 · 6:45 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

ORIOLES 8
Cardinals 7

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 8–7 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games