Wednesday · August 12 · 1:15 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 94 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph out to cf
Final
Phillies
1
CARDINALS
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–7 Cardinals
61%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 71% | 29% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 71% | 29% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 63% | 37% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 61% | 39% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games