Monday · August 10 · 6:45 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 96 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf
Final
PHILLIES
6
Cardinals
5
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–2 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–5 Phillies
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 76% | 24% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–2 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
78–45
63% across 123 games
Cardinals this season
69–55
56% across 124 games