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Tuesday · August 11 · 6:45 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 95 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

Phillies 0
CARDINALS 2

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–2 Cardinals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 67% 33% 3–2
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 61% 39%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

78–45

63% across 123 games

Cardinals this season

69–55

56% across 124 games