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Wednesday · July 29 · 6:45 pm ✦

CUBS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

Cubs 2
CARDINALS 3

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 69% 31% 4–2
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 60% 40% 4–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 55% 45%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 61% 39%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 59% 41% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

60–63

49% across 123 games

Cardinals this season

69–55

56% across 124 games