Thursday · July 30 · 1:16 PM ✦
CUBS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from cf
Final
CUBS
4
Cardinals
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–2 Cubs
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 73% | 25% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 69% | 31% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 59% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
60–63
49% across 123 games
Cardinals this season
69–55
56% across 124 games