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Monday · July 27 · 6:45 pm ✦

CUBS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 99 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

CUBS 7
Cardinals 3

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–3 Cubs

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 67% 33% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 64% 36% 5–3 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 51% 49% — ✓
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games