Tuesday · July 28 · 6:45 pm ✦
CUBS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 91 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf
Final
CUBS
10
Cardinals
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 10–2 Cubs
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games