Saturday · July 25 · 6:15 pm ✦
REDS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to lf
Final
Reds
0
CARDINALS
7
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–7 Cardinals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games