Sunday · July 26 · 1:17 PM ✦
REDS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 94 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf
Final
REDS
5
Cardinals
3
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 5–3 Reds
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 38% | 62% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games