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Sunday · July 12 · 1:15 PM ✦

BRAVES @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 86 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

BRAVES 4
Cardinals 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–3 Braves

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 55% 45%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 45% 55%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 52% 48% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

64–61

51% across 125 games

Cardinals this season

70–55

56% across 125 games