Saturday · July 11 · 6:15 pm ✦
BRAVES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l
Final
Braves
1
CARDINALS
4
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–4 Cardinals
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
64–61
51% across 125 games
Cardinals this season
70–55
56% across 125 games