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Friday · July 24 · 7:15 pm ✦

REDS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 75 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

REDS 4
Cardinals 2

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 4–2 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 51% 49%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

64–59

52% across 123 games

Cardinals this season

69–55

56% across 124 games