Wednesday · July 8 · 6:45 pm ✦
BREWERS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
Brewers
1
CARDINALS
5
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 1–5 Cardinals
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 36% | 62% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 63% | 37% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 50% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
71–53
57% across 124 games
Cardinals this season
70–55
56% across 125 games