Thursday · July 9 · 6:45 pm ✦
BREWERS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 91 degrees, overcast, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
BREWERS
8
Cardinals
4
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 8–4 Brewers
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 67% | 33% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–68
57% across 160 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games