Saturday · June 27 · 6:15 pm ✦
MARLINS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
MARLINS
5
Cardinals
1
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 5–1 Marlins
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | 3–4 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
45–40
53% across 85 games
Cardinals this season
46–39
54% across 85 games