Monday · June 22 · 6:45 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf
Final
D-backs
2
CARDINALS
3
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
46–40
53% across 86 games
Cardinals this season
47–39
55% across 86 games