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Wednesday · June 24 · 6:45 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to cf

Final

D-BACKS 9
Cardinals 4

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 9–4 D-backs

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% — ✓
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 32% 68% — ✗
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 46% 54% 3–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games