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Tuesday · June 23 · 6:45 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

D-BACKS 4
Cardinals 3

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 4–3 D-backs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 62% 38% 3–3 ✓
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 33% 67% — ✗
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games