Back to the recap

Tuesday · June 23 · 6:45 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

D-BACKS 4
Cardinals 3

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 4–3 D-backs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 62% 38% 3–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 33% 67%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

46–40

53% across 86 games

Cardinals this season

47–39

55% across 86 games