Wednesday · June 17 · 1:15 PM ✦
PADRES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 85 degrees, cloudy, wind 22 mph r to l
Final
PADRES
6
Cardinals
1
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 6–1 Padres
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
54–30
64% across 84 games
Cardinals this season
47–39
55% across 86 games