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Tuesday · June 16 · 6:45 pm ✦

PADRES @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf

Final

Padres 2
CARDINALS 3

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–4
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 48% 52%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 27% 73%
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games

Cardinals this season

47–39

55% across 86 games