Monday · June 15 · 6:45 pm ✦
PADRES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 79 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
Padres
0
CARDINALS
3
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 0–3 Cardinals
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
54–30
64% across 84 games
Cardinals this season
47–39
55% across 86 games