Saturday · June 6 · 1:15 PM ✦
REDS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l
Final
Reds
5
CARDINALS
6
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–6 Cardinals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games