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Friday · June 5 · 7:15 pm ✦

REDS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

Reds 3
CARDINALS 10

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 3–10 Cardinals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games