Back to the recap

Monday · June 1 · 6:45 pm ✦

RANGERS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

RANGERS 2
Cardinals 1

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 2–1 Rangers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–39

55% across 86 games

Cardinals this season

48–39

55% across 87 games