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Wednesday · June 3 · 6:45 pm ✦

RANGERS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 83 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

Rangers 3
CARDINALS 5

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 3–5 Cardinals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Texas Rangers 54% 46%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51%
Consensus Texas Rangers 55% 45% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Cardinals this season

47–39

55% across 86 games