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Sunday · May 31 · 6:20 pm ✦

CUBS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

Cubs 1
CARDINALS 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–5 Cardinals

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 73% 27% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 73% 27% 4–3
Logistic Chicago Cubs 51% 49%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 42% 58%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 60% 40% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

40–47

46% across 87 games

Cardinals this season

48–39

55% across 87 games