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Friday · May 29 ✦

CUBS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium.

Final

Cubs 5
CARDINALS 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–6 Cardinals

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 62% 38% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 62% 38% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 75% 25% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Chicago Cubs 53% 47%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 55% 45%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 60% 40% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

40–47

46% across 87 games

Cardinals this season

48–39

55% across 87 games