Thursday · May 21 · 12:15 PM ✦
PIRATES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r
Final
PIRATES
6
Cardinals
2
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 6–2 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
26–19
58% across 45 games
Cardinals this season
27–17
61% across 44 games