Tuesday · May 19 ✦
PIRATES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium.
Final
Pirates
6
CARDINALS
9
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–2 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 6–9 Cardinals
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 69% | 31% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 64% | 36% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 67% | 33% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 75% | 25% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 68% | 32% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 62% | 38% | 4–2 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games