Back to the recap

Saturday · May 16 · 2:01 PM ✦

ROYALS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 78 degrees, overcast, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

Royals 2
CARDINALS 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–2 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–4 Cardinals

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 3–2
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 3–2
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 70% 30%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 59% 41% 3–2
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games