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Saturday · May 16 · 2:01 PM ✦

ROYALS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 78 degrees, overcast, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

Royals 2
CARDINALS 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–2 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–4 Cardinals

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 3–2 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 3–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 3–2 ✗
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 70% 30% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 59% 41% 3–2 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games