Back to the recap

Friday · May 15 · 7:15 PM ✦

ROYALS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 11 mph r to l

Final

Royals 4
CARDINALS 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 4–5 Cardinals

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 64% 36% 3–2
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 56% 44%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 63% 37%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 59% 41% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games