Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 6 · 12:16 PM ✦

BREWERS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 58 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph in from rf

Final

BREWERS 6
Cardinals 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 6–2 Brewers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 57% 43%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 65% 35%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 54% 46% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games