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Monday · May 4 · 6:45 pm ✦

BREWERS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 74 degrees, cloudy, wind 11 mph r to l

Final

Brewers 3
CARDINALS 6

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 3–6 Cardinals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 62% 38% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 69% 31% 3–2
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games