Friday · May 1 · 7:15 pm ✦
DODGERS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 62 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from lf
Final
Dodgers
2
CARDINALS
7
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 5–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–7 Cardinals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Los Angeles Dodgers | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 56% | 44% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 67% | 33% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 54% | 46% | 5–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
100–59
63% across 159 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games