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Saturday · May 2 · 6:16 PM ✦

DODGERS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

Dodgers 2
CARDINALS 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 5–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 76% 24% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45%
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 65% 35%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

23–21

52% across 44 games

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games