Saturday · May 2 · 6:16 PM ✦
DODGERS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf
Final
Dodgers
2
CARDINALS
3
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 76% | 24% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Los Angeles Dodgers | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Los Angeles Dodgers | 65% | 35% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
100–59
63% across 159 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games