Back to the recap

Saturday · April 25 · 1:15 PM ✦

MARINERS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 73 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph in from lf

Final

MARINERS 11
Cardinals 9

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 11–9 Mariners

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 58% 42% 3–2
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 69% 31%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games