Wednesday · April 15 · 12:21 PM ✦
GUARDIANS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 72 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph r to l
Final
Guardians
3
CARDINALS
5
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 6–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 Cardinals
68%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 84% | 16% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 78% | 22% | 6–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 82% | 18% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 87% | 13% | 6–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 61% | 39% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 68% | 32% | 6–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
23–24
49% across 47 games
Cardinals this season
28–18
61% across 46 games