Back to the recap

Saturday · April 11 · 6:15 pm ✦

RED SOX @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

RED SOX 7
Cardinals 1

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 7–1 Red Sox

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 69% 31% 4–2
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 64% 36% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 4–2
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 70% 30%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games