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Sunday · April 12 · 1:15 pm ✦

RED SOX @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 17 mph out to lf

Final

RED SOX 9
Cardinals 3

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 9–3 Red Sox

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–2
Logistic Boston Red Sox 51% 49%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 64% 36%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games