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Friday · April 10 · 7:15 pm ✦

RED SOX @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 64 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

Red Sox 2
CARDINALS 3

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 45% 55%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 33% 67%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 49% 51% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games