Friday · April 10 · 7:15 pm ✦
RED SOX @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 64 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
Red Sox
2
CARDINALS
3
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 2–3 Cardinals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
Cardinals this season
28–18
61% across 46 games