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Tuesday · March 31 ✦

METS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium.

Final

Mets 0
CARDINALS 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 0–3 Cardinals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 62% 38% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 40% 60%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 48% 52%
Consensus New York Mets 52% 48% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

29–18

62% across 47 games

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games