Wednesday · April 1 · 1:15 PM ✦
METS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 58 degrees, overcast, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
Mets
1
CARDINALS
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 1–2 Cardinals
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 65% | 35% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 71% | 29% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
29–18
62% across 47 games
Cardinals this season
28–18
61% across 46 games