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Monday · March 30 · 6:45 pm ✦

METS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 81 degrees, clear, wind 15 mph out to lf

Final

METS 4
Cardinals 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 4–2 Mets

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 54% 46%
Random Forest New York Mets 73% 27%
Consensus New York Mets 62% 38% 4–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

29–18

62% across 47 games

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games