Tuesday · September 22 · 6:40 pm ✦
ASTROS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to rf
Final
ASTROS
7
Mariners
0
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 7–0 Astros
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 36% | 64% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games