Friday · September 4 ✦
ATHLETICS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
ATHLETICS
7
Mariners
6
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 3–5 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 7–6 Athletics
70%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 15% | 85% | 2–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 36% | 64% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 27% | 73% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 13% | 87% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Athletics | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 30% | 70% | 3–5 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
92–64
59% across 156 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games