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Thursday · September 3 · 6:40 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

ATHLETICS 7
Mariners 4

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–5 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 7–4 Athletics

68%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 18% 82% 2–5 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 24% 76% 3–6 ✗
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 29% 71% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 18% 82% 2–5 ✗
Logistic Seattle Mariners 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Athletics 62% 38% — ✓
Consensus Seattle Mariners 32% 68% 3–5 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games